Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Blackpool
54%
Draw
26%
Bromley
20%
Actual result: Blackpool 2 – 2 Bromley · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Blackpool, negative favours Bromley) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Blackpool - Bromley)+0.76
Expected total goals2.66
Expected goals Blackpool / Bromley1.71 / 0.95
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.1% / 48.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.2%
Over 2.5 goals 49.6%
Over 3.5 goals 27.7%
First half
First-half result (Blackpool / draw / Bromley)39.6% / 42.5% / 18.0%
A goal in the first half69.0%
Two or more in the first half34.4%
Half-time then full-time
Blackpool lead at half-time then Blackpool win34.1%
Level at half-time then Blackpool win18.4%
Level at half-time then draw16.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Blackpool's side
Blackpool −2.022.1%
Blackpool −1.7526.3%
Blackpool −1.530.6%
Blackpool −1.2536.5%
Blackpool −1.042.5%
Blackpool −0.7548.5%
Blackpool −0.554.4%
Blackpool −0.2560.8%
Blackpool draw no bet (0.0)67.2%
Blackpool +0.2573.6%
Blackpool +0.580.0%
Blackpool +0.7583.2%
Blackpool +1.086.4%
Blackpool +1.592.9%
Blackpool +2.095.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Blackpool win1.84
Draw3.91
Bromley win5.00
Over 2.52.01
Under 2.51.99
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Blackpool wins by more than 1 goals31%
Bromley wins by more than 1 goals7%