Norwegian Eliteserien

Brann vs Rosenborg prediction

3 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Brann vs Rosenborg (Norwegian Eliteserien), 03/08/2026, finished 3-2: Brann won. Before the match Jarvis gave Brann 47%, the draw 25% and Rosenborg 28%; the actual result had a 47% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Brann

47%

Draw

25%

Rosenborg

28%

Actual result: Brann 3 – 2 Rosenborg · Brann winJarvis gave this outcome: 47% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brann, negative favours Rosenborg) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Brann - Rosenborg)+0.44

Expected total goals3.06

Expected goals Brann / Rosenborg1.75 / 1.31

Both teams to score (yes / no)61.2% / 38.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 81.8%

Over 2.5 goals 58.9%

Over 3.5 goals 36.5%

First half

First-half result (Brann / draw / Rosenborg)35.8% / 40.3% / 23.9%

A goal in the first half73.8%

Two or more in the first half40.9%

Half-time then full-time

Brann lead at half-time then Brann win29.0%

Rosenborg lead at half-time then Rosenborg win16.2%

Level at half-time then Brann win15.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Brann's side

Brann −2.018.6%

Brann −1.7522.2%

Brann −1.525.8%

Brann −1.2531.1%

Brann −1.036.4%

Brann −0.7541.6%

Brann −0.546.9%

Brann −0.2553.2%

Brann draw no bet (0.0)59.5%

Brann +0.2565.8%

Brann +0.572.1%

Brann +0.7576.0%

Brann +1.079.9%

Brann +1.587.7%

Brann +2.091.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Brann win2.13

Draw3.97

Rosenborg win3.59

Over 2.51.70

Under 2.52.43

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Brann wins by more than 1 goals26%

Rosenborg wins by more than 1 goals12%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match