English Sky Bet Championship

Millwall vs Lincoln prediction

18:30, 17/10

GMT+7

Kicking off soon

Quick preview

Millwall meet Lincoln in the English Sky Bet Championship, kick-off 18:30 on 17/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives Millwall a 58% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 17% for Lincoln; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-0. Jarvis expects 2.5 goals in the match: both teams score with 46%, 3 or more goals with 46%.

What is your call?

Pick a result to see what other readers think. A fun poll, no prize.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling

Offline

Millwall

58%

Draw

25%

Lincoln

17%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Millwall, negative favours Lincoln) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Millwall - Lincoln)+0.90

Expected total goals2.50

Expected goals Millwall / Lincoln1.70 / 0.80

Both teams to score (yes / no)45.6% / 54.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 71.9%

Over 2.5 goals 45.7%

Over 3.5 goals 24.3%

First half

First-half result (Millwall / draw / Lincoln)41.6% / 42.8% / 15.5%

A goal in the first half67.2%

Two or more in the first half31.5%

Half-time then full-time

Millwall lead at half-time then Millwall win36.7%

Level at half-time then Millwall win19.7%

Level at half-time then draw16.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Millwall's side

Millwall −2.023.9%

Millwall −1.7528.5%

Millwall −1.533.0%

Millwall −1.2539.4%

Millwall −1.045.7%

Millwall −0.7552.1%

Millwall −0.558.4%

Millwall −0.2564.6%

Millwall draw no bet (0.0)70.8%

Millwall +0.2577.0%

Millwall +0.583.2%

Millwall +0.7586.1%

Millwall +1.089.0%

Millwall +1.594.8%

Millwall +2.096.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Millwall win1.71

Draw4.04

Lincoln win5.94

Over 2.52.19

Under 2.51.84

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Millwall wins by more than 1 goals33%

Lincoln wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory

Millwall vs Lincoln injury report and team news

Millwall

J. CoburnOut · Muscle Injury
C. De NorreOut · Muscle Injury
R. EsseOut · Ankle Injury
M. IvanovicOut · Hamstring Injury
L. JensenOut · Muscle Injury
M. LuongoOut · Knee Injury
T. ArconteDoubtful · Ankle Injury

Lincoln

T. DarikwaOut · Knee Injury
T. HamerOut · Red Card
C. McGrandlesOut · Red Card
M. MeliaOut · Thigh Injury

Millwall vs Lincoln team form

MillwallLWDDL

Last 5 matches
13/10/2026	Swansea (home)	0–1	Championship
10/10/2026	Preston (away)	1–0	Championship
19/09/2026	West Ham (home)	2–2	Championship
15/09/2026	Middlesbrough (away)	2–2	Championship
12/09/2026	Blackburn (away)	1–3	Championship

LincolnLLLWW

Last 5 matches
14/10/2026	West Ham (home)	0–6	Championship
10/10/2026	Sheffield Utd (away)	0–3	Championship
19/09/2026	Swansea (home)	1–2	Championship
15/09/2026	Bristol City (away)	1–0	Championship
12/09/2026	Preston (away)	1–0	Championship

Match information

Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo
Venue: The Den, London
Round: 11

Other matches on 17/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.