English Sky Bet Championship
0'
PortsmouthPortsmouth0
Sheff Utd0
English Sky Bet Championship
0'
Norwich0
SouthamptonSouthampton0
English Sky Bet Championship
0'
QPRQPR0
DerbyDerby0
UEFA Champions League
0'
Bodo GlimtBodo Glimt0
DortmundDortmund0
UEFA Champions League
0'
RomaRoma0
Real MadridReal Madrid0
UEFA Champions League
0'
BetisBetis0
PortoPorto0
UEFA Champions League
0'
ShakhtarShakhtar0
AEK AthensAEK Athens0
UEFA Champions League
0'
Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava0
StuttgartStuttgart0
All 27 live →
English Premier League

Everton vs Chelsea prediction

Everton
18:30, 17/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Chelsea

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Everton
29%
Draw
27%
Chelsea
44%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Everton, negative favours Chelsea) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Everton - Chelsea)-0.33
Expected total goals2.64
Expected goals Everton / Chelsea1.15 / 1.49
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.7% / 46.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.8%
Over 2.5 goals 49.1%
Over 3.5 goals 27.3%
First half
First-half result (Everton / draw / Chelsea)23.5% / 43.4% / 33.1%
A goal in the first half68.8%
Two or more in the first half34.0%
Half-time then full-time
Chelsea lead at half-time then Chelsea win26.6%
Level at half-time then draw16.8%
Everton lead at half-time then Everton win16.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Everton's side
Everton −2.07.7%
Everton −1.759.8%
Everton −1.511.8%
Everton −1.2516.0%
Everton −1.020.2%
Everton −0.7524.4%
Everton −0.528.6%
Everton −0.2535.4%
Everton draw no bet (0.0)42.2%
Everton +0.2549.1%
Everton +0.555.9%
Everton +0.7561.4%
Everton +1.066.9%
Everton +1.577.8%
Everton +2.084.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Everton win3.50
Draw3.67
Chelsea win2.27
Over 2.52.03
Under 2.51.97

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Everton wins by more than 1 goals12%
Chelsea wins by more than 1 goals22%

Probability trajectory

Everton vs Chelsea team form

EvertonDWWDD
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Hull City (away)2–2
19/09/2026Ipswich (home)1–0
16/09/2026Wolves (home)1–0
12/09/2026Tottenham (away)0–0
06/09/2026Manchester United (home)2–2
ChelseaWLDWL
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Bournemouth (home)5–1
18/09/2026Brentford (away)0–3
12/09/2026Hull City (home)2–2
09/09/2026Leeds (home)6–3
06/09/2026Arsenal (away)1–2

Everton vs Chelsea head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Everton won 3, drew 3, lost 4. Everton scored 9 and conceded 13 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/2026Everton3–0Chelsea
13/12/2025Chelsea2–0Everton
26/04/2025Chelsea1–0Everton
22/12/2024Everton0–0Chelsea
15/04/2024Chelsea6–0Everton
10/12/2023Everton2–0Chelsea
18/03/2023Chelsea2–2Everton
06/08/2022Everton0–1Chelsea
01/05/2022Everton1–0Chelsea
16/12/2021Chelsea1–1Everton

Match information

Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Round
7