Italian Serie A

Venezia vs Napoli prediction

20:00, 17/10
GMT+7
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Venezia meet Napoli in the Serie A, kick-off 20:00 on 17/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Venezia are 20th (0 points from 6 games) and Napoli are 9th (10 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Venezia a 20% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 55% for Napoli; the score Jarvis predicts is 0-2. Jarvis expects 2.7 goals in the match: both teams score with 51%, 3 or more goals with 50%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Venezia
20%
Draw
25%
Napoli
55%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Venezia, negative favours Napoli) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Venezia - Napoli)-0.78
Expected total goals2.67
Expected goals Venezia / Napoli0.95 / 1.73
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.2% / 48.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 goals 50.0%
Over 3.5 goals 28.0%
First half
First-half result (Venezia / draw / Napoli)17.8% / 42.3% / 39.9%
A goal in the first half69.2%
Two or more in the first half34.6%
Half-time then full-time
Napoli lead at half-time then Napoli win34.5%
Level at half-time then Napoli win18.5%
Level at half-time then draw15.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Venezia's side
Venezia −2.04.4%
Venezia −1.755.7%
Venezia −1.57.0%
Venezia −1.2510.2%
Venezia −1.013.3%
Venezia −0.7516.5%
Venezia −0.519.7%
Venezia −0.2526.0%
Venezia draw no bet (0.0)32.4%
Venezia +0.2538.8%
Venezia +0.545.1%
Venezia +0.7551.1%
Venezia +1.057.0%
Venezia +1.569.0%
Venezia +2.077.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Venezia win5.08
Draw3.93
Napoli win1.82
Over 2.52.00
Under 2.52.00

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Venezia wins by more than 1 goals7%
Napoli wins by more than 1 goals31%
Corners
Expected total corners9.0
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Venezia vs Napoli injury report and team news

Venezia
  • A. AdoranteOut · Hernia
  • G. BusioOut · Thigh Injury
  • B. FranjicOut · Shoulder Injury
  • M. SverkoOut · Hip Injury
  • A. Bella-KotchapDoubtful · Thigh Injury
  • T. CorreiaDoubtful · Thigh Injury
  • P. MazzocchiDoubtful · Calf Injury
Napoli
  • A. BuongiornoOut · Knee Injury
  • C. FavasuliOut · Thigh Injury
  • A. VergaraOut · Calf Injury
  • Alisson SantosDoubtful · Muscle Injury
  • F. AnguissaDoubtful · Groin Injury
  • M. OliveraDoubtful · Groin Injury

Venezia vs Napoli team form

VeneziaLLLLL
Last 5 matches
12/10/2026Atalanta (away)1–3
19/09/2026Lazio (home)0–2
11/09/2026Fiorentina (home)2–4
06/09/2026Frosinone (away)2–3
02/09/2026Udinese (away)1–2
NapoliLWDWL
Last 5 matches
13/10/2026Villarreal (away)1–3
10/10/2026Frosinone (home)3–0
20/09/2026Fiorentina (away)1–1
13/09/2026Bologna (home)1–0
09/09/2026Arsenal (home)0–1

Venezia vs Napoli head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 4 meetings: Venezia won 0, drew 1, lost 3. Venezia scored 0 and conceded 5 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
16/03/2025Venezia0–0Napoli
29/12/2024Napoli1–0Venezia
06/02/2022Venezia0–2Napoli
22/08/2021Napoli2–0Venezia

Match information

Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi
Venue
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Genoa (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs InternazionaleThu 29/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs Bodo/GlimtWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs AS RomaSat 24/10, 23:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 17/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Internazionale6+1016
2Lazio6+716
3AS Roma6+1114
...
8Como6+311
9Napoli6+410
10Atalanta609
...
19Fiorentina6-74
20Venezia6-110

See the full Serie A table