Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Brann
23%
Draw
23%
Viking
55%
Actual result: Brann 0 – 2 Viking · Viking winJarvis gave this outcome: 55% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brann, negative favours Viking) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Brann - Viking)-0.80
Expected total goals3.48
Expected goals Brann / Viking1.34 / 2.14
Both teams to score (yes / no)66.1% / 33.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 87.2%
Over 2.5 goals 67.6%
Over 3.5 goals 45.9%
First half
First-half result (Brann / draw / Viking)21.0% / 37.5% / 41.5%
A goal in the first half77.8%
Two or more in the first half47.7%
Half-time then full-time
Viking lead at half-time then Viking win35.2%
Level at half-time then Viking win16.8%
Brann lead at half-time then Brann win13.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Brann's side
Brann −2.06.7%
Brann −1.758.3%
Brann −1.59.9%
Brann −1.2513.1%
Brann −1.016.3%
Brann −0.7519.5%
Brann −0.522.7%
Brann −0.2528.3%
Brann draw no bet (0.0)33.9%
Brann +0.2539.6%
Brann +0.545.2%
Brann +0.7550.5%
Brann +1.055.7%
Brann +1.566.1%
Brann +2.074.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Brann win4.41
Draw4.43
Viking win1.83
Over 2.51.48
Under 2.53.08
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Brann wins by more than 1 goals10%
Viking wins by more than 1 goals34%