Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Bromley
38%
Draw
29%
AFC Wimbledon
33%
Actual result: Bromley 0 – 2 AFC Wimbledon · AFC Wimbledon winJarvis gave this outcome: 33%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bromley, negative favours AFC Wimbledon) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Bromley - AFC Wimbledon)+0.11
Expected total goals2.54
Expected goals Bromley / AFC Wimbledon1.32 / 1.22
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.0% / 47.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.4%
Over 2.5 goals 46.7%
Over 3.5 goals 25.2%
First half
First-half result (Bromley / draw / AFC Wimbledon)28.9% / 45.3% / 25.8%
A goal in the first half67.1%
Two or more in the first half32.8%
Half-time then full-time
Bromley lead at half-time then Bromley win22.5%
AFC Wimbledon lead at half-time then AFC Wimbledon win19.2%
Level at half-time then draw18.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Bromley's side
Bromley −2.012.0%
Bromley −1.7514.9%
Bromley −1.517.7%
Bromley −1.2522.8%
Bromley −1.027.8%
Bromley −0.7532.8%
Bromley −0.537.8%
Bromley −0.2545.2%
Bromley draw no bet (0.0)52.5%
Bromley +0.2559.8%
Bromley +0.567.1%
Bromley +0.7571.7%
Bromley +1.076.3%
Bromley +1.585.5%
Bromley +2.090.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Bromley win2.64
Draw3.41
AFC Wimbledon win3.04
Over 2.52.14
Under 2.51.88
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Bromley wins by more than 1 goals18%
AFC Wimbledon wins by more than 1 goals14%
Corners
Expected total corners10.0
6.5+ corners in the match54%
Cards
Expected total cards1.2
2.5+ cards in the match12%