Bolivian Cup
CD Gualberto Villarroel vs Blooming Santa Cruz prediction
3 – 2
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
CD Gualberto Villarroel
82%
Draw
12%
Blooming Santa Cruz
6%
Actual result: CD Gualberto Villarroel 3 – 2 Blooming Santa Cruz · CD Gualberto Villarroel winJarvis gave this outcome: 82% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours CD Gualberto Villarroel, negative favours Blooming Santa Cruz) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (CD Gualberto Villarroel - Blooming Santa Cruz)+2.38
Expected total goals4.30
Expected goals CD Gualberto Villarroel / Blooming Santa Cruz3.34 / 0.96
Both teams to score (yes / no)60.2% / 39.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 93.5%
Over 2.5 goals 80.3%
Over 3.5 goals 62.3%
First half
First-half result (CD Gualberto Villarroel / draw / Blooming Santa Cruz)62.7% / 28.4% / 8.9%
A goal in the first half84.1%
Two or more in the first half59.1%
Half-time then full-time
CD Gualberto Villarroel lead at half-time then CD Gualberto Villarroel win59.8%
Level at half-time then CD Gualberto Villarroel win19.2%
Level at half-time then draw6.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from CD Gualberto Villarroel's side
CD Gualberto Villarroel −2.055.6%
CD Gualberto Villarroel −1.7560.5%
CD Gualberto Villarroel −1.565.4%
CD Gualberto Villarroel −1.2569.5%
CD Gualberto Villarroel −1.073.5%
CD Gualberto Villarroel −0.7577.6%
CD Gualberto Villarroel −0.581.6%
CD Gualberto Villarroel −0.2584.6%
CD Gualberto Villarroel draw no bet (0.0)87.6%
CD Gualberto Villarroel +0.2590.7%
CD Gualberto Villarroel +0.593.7%
CD Gualberto Villarroel +0.7594.7%
CD Gualberto Villarroel +1.095.8%
CD Gualberto Villarroel +1.597.8%
CD Gualberto Villarroel +2.098.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
CD Gualberto Villarroel win1.23
Draw8.28
Blooming Santa Cruz win15.83
Over 2.51.25
Under 2.55.07
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
CD Gualberto Villarroel wins by more than 1 goals65%
Blooming Santa Cruz wins by more than 1 goals2%