US MLS

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF (US MLS), 26/07/2026, finished 0-1: Inter Miami CF won. Before the match Jarvis gave CF Montreal 32%, the draw 25% and Inter Miami CF 43%; the actual result had a 43% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

CF Montreal

32%

Draw

25%

Inter Miami CF

43%

Actual result: CF Montreal 0 – 1 Inter Miami CF · Inter Miami CF winJarvis gave this outcome: 43% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours CF Montreal, negative favours Inter Miami CF) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (CF Montreal - Inter Miami CF)-0.25

Expected total goals3.47

Expected goals CF Montreal / Inter Miami CF1.61 / 1.86

Both teams to score (yes / no)68.8% / 31.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 87.4%

Over 2.5 goals 67.4%

Over 3.5 goals 45.7%

First half

First-half result (CF Montreal / draw / Inter Miami CF)27.1% / 39.3% / 33.6%

A goal in the first half77.3%

Two or more in the first half48.0%

Half-time then full-time

Inter Miami CF lead at half-time then Inter Miami CF win26.4%

CF Montreal lead at half-time then CF Montreal win19.4%

Level at half-time then Inter Miami CF win14.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from CF Montreal's side

CF Montreal −2.011.4%

CF Montreal −1.7513.9%

CF Montreal −1.516.4%

CF Montreal −1.2520.4%

CF Montreal −1.024.4%

CF Montreal −0.7528.4%

CF Montreal −0.532.4%

CF Montreal −0.2538.6%

CF Montreal draw no bet (0.0)44.8%

CF Montreal +0.2551.0%

CF Montreal +0.557.2%

CF Montreal +0.7561.9%

CF Montreal +1.066.6%

CF Montreal +1.576.0%

CF Montreal +2.082.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

CF Montreal win3.08

Draw4.04

Inter Miami CF win2.34

Over 2.51.48

Under 2.53.06

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

CF Montreal wins by more than 1 goals16%

Inter Miami CF wins by more than 1 goals24%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match