UEFA Women's Champions League
Chelsea (W) vs FK Austria Wien (W) prediction
1 – 0
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Chelsea (W)
97%
Draw
2%
FK Austria Wien (W)
1%
Actual result: Chelsea (W) 1 – 0 FK Austria Wien (W) · Chelsea (W) winJarvis gave this outcome: 97% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Chelsea (W), negative favours FK Austria Wien (W)) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Chelsea (W) - FK Austria Wien (W))+3.92
Expected total goals4.55
Expected goals Chelsea (W) / FK Austria Wien (W)4.23 / 0.32
Both teams to score (yes / no)26.5% / 73.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 93.9%
Over 2.5 goals 83.2%
Over 3.5 goals 66.6%
First half
First-half result (Chelsea (W) / draw / FK Austria Wien (W))81.8% / 15.3% / 3.0%
A goal in the first half87.8%
Two or more in the first half60.0%
Half-time then full-time
Chelsea (W) lead at half-time then Chelsea (W) win81.0%
Level at half-time then Chelsea (W) win13.3%
FK Austria Wien (W) lead at half-time then Chelsea (W) win1.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Chelsea (W)'s side
Chelsea (W) −2.080.8%
Chelsea (W) −1.7584.4%
Chelsea (W) −1.588.0%
Chelsea (W) −1.2590.2%
Chelsea (W) −1.092.3%
Chelsea (W) −0.7594.4%
Chelsea (W) −0.596.6%
Chelsea (W) −0.2597.2%
Chelsea (W) draw no bet (0.0)97.8%
Chelsea (W) +0.2598.4%
Chelsea (W) +0.599.0%
Chelsea (W) +0.7599.2%
Chelsea (W) +1.099.5%
Chelsea (W) +1.599.9%
Chelsea (W) +2.0100.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Chelsea (W) win1.04
Draw40.66
FK Austria Wien (W) win101.11
Over 2.51.20
Under 2.55.95
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Chelsea (W) wins by more than 1 goals88%
FK Austria Wien (W) wins by more than 1 goals0%