Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Czech Republic
8%
Draw
15%
England
76%
Actual result: Czech Republic 0 – 2 England · England winJarvis gave this outcome: 76% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Czech Republic, negative favours England) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Czech Republic - England)-1.76
Expected total goals3.12
Expected goals Czech Republic / England0.68 / 2.44
Both teams to score (yes / no)45.1% / 54.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 81.9%
Over 2.5 goals 60.4%
Over 3.5 goals 38.0%
First half
First-half result (Czech Republic / draw / England)10.2% / 33.6% / 56.1%
A goal in the first half75.4%
Two or more in the first half41.0%
Half-time then full-time
England lead at half-time then England win52.6%
Level at half-time then England win20.7%
Level at half-time then draw9.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Czech Republic's side
Czech Republic −2.01.3%
Czech Republic −1.751.7%
Czech Republic −1.52.1%
Czech Republic −1.253.7%
Czech Republic −1.05.2%
Czech Republic −0.756.8%
Czech Republic −0.58.4%
Czech Republic −0.2512.2%
Czech Republic draw no bet (0.0)16.1%
Czech Republic +0.2520.0%
Czech Republic +0.523.9%
Czech Republic +0.7529.5%
Czech Republic +1.035.1%
Czech Republic +1.546.4%
Czech Republic +2.057.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Czech Republic win11.95
Draw6.45
England win1.31
Over 2.51.66
Under 2.52.52
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Czech Republic wins by more than 1 goals2%
England wins by more than 1 goals54%
Corners
Expected total corners9.1
6.5+ corners in the match56%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%