Colombian Primera A
Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga prediction
1 – 3
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Deportivo Pereira
12%
Draw
24%
Atletico Bucaramanga
64%
Actual result: Deportivo Pereira 1 – 3 Atletico Bucaramanga · Atletico Bucaramanga winJarvis gave this outcome: 64% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Deportivo Pereira, negative favours Atletico Bucaramanga) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Deportivo Pereira - Atletico Bucaramanga)-1.08
Expected total goals2.19
Expected goals Deportivo Pereira / Atletico Bucaramanga0.55 / 1.63
Both teams to score (yes / no)34.3% / 65.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 64.3%
Over 2.5 goals 37.4%
Over 3.5 goals 17.9%
First half
First-half result (Deportivo Pereira / draw / Atletico Bucaramanga)11.5% / 44.5% / 43.9%
A goal in the first half62.7%
Two or more in the first half25.9%
Half-time then full-time
Atletico Bucaramanga lead at half-time then Atletico Bucaramanga win40.1%
Level at half-time then Atletico Bucaramanga win21.8%
Level at half-time then draw17.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Deportivo Pereira's side
Deportivo Pereira −2.01.6%
Deportivo Pereira −1.752.2%
Deportivo Pereira −1.52.8%
Deportivo Pereira −1.255.1%
Deportivo Pereira −1.07.5%
Deportivo Pereira −0.759.9%
Deportivo Pereira −0.512.2%
Deportivo Pereira −0.2518.2%
Deportivo Pereira draw no bet (0.0)24.2%
Deportivo Pereira +0.2530.2%
Deportivo Pereira +0.536.2%
Deportivo Pereira +0.7543.1%
Deportivo Pereira +1.050.1%
Deportivo Pereira +1.564.1%
Deportivo Pereira +2.074.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Deportivo Pereira win8.17
Draw4.18
Atletico Bucaramanga win1.57
Over 2.52.67
Under 2.51.60
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Deportivo Pereira wins by more than 1 goals3%
Atletico Bucaramanga wins by more than 1 goals36%