Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Deportivo
26%
Draw
27%
Betis
48%
Actual result: Deportivo 1 – 1 Betis · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 27%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Deportivo, negative favours Betis) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Deportivo - Betis)-0.50
Expected total goals2.82
Expected goals Deportivo / Betis1.16 / 1.66
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.8% / 43.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 78.4%
Over 2.5 goals 53.6%
Over 3.5 goals 31.3%
First half
First-half result (Deportivo / draw / Betis)21.8% / 42.4% / 35.8%
A goal in the first half70.8%
Two or more in the first half37.3%
Half-time then full-time
Betis lead at half-time then Betis win29.6%
Level at half-time then Betis win16.5%
Level at half-time then draw16.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Deportivo's side
Deportivo −2.06.9%
Deportivo −1.758.8%
Deportivo −1.510.6%
Deportivo −1.2514.3%
Deportivo −1.018.1%
Deportivo −0.7521.8%
Deportivo −0.525.5%
Deportivo −0.2532.2%
Deportivo draw no bet (0.0)38.8%
Deportivo +0.2545.5%
Deportivo +0.552.1%
Deportivo +0.7557.6%
Deportivo +1.063.1%
Deportivo +1.574.0%
Deportivo +2.081.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Deportivo win3.92
Draw3.76
Betis win2.09
Over 2.51.87
Under 2.52.15
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Deportivo wins by more than 1 goals11%
Betis wins by more than 1 goals26%
Corners
Expected total corners9.7
6.5+ corners in the match50%
Cards
Expected total cards5.3
2.5+ cards in the match44%