Spanish La Liga

Deportivo vs Elche prediction

1 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Deportivo vs Elche (La Liga), 18/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Deportivo 43%, the draw 32% and Elche 25%; the actual result had a 32% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Deportivo
43%
Draw
32%
Elche
25%
Actual result: Deportivo 1 – 1 Elche · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 32%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Deportivo, negative favours Elche) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Deportivo - Elche)+0.36
Expected total goals2.22
Expected goals Deportivo / Elche1.29 / 0.93
Both teams to score (yes / no)45.8% / 54.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 66.9%
Over 2.5 goals 38.2%
Over 3.5 goals 18.4%
First half
First-half result (Deportivo / draw / Elche)31.0% / 49.0% / 20.0%
A goal in the first half61.8%
Two or more in the first half27.7%
Half-time then full-time
Deportivo lead at half-time then Deportivo win25.7%
Level at half-time then draw21.8%
Level at half-time then Deportivo win16.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Deportivo's side
Deportivo −2.013.9%
Deportivo −1.7517.2%
Deportivo −1.520.5%
Deportivo −1.2526.1%
Deportivo −1.031.7%
Deportivo −0.7537.3%
Deportivo −0.542.9%
Deportivo −0.2550.9%
Deportivo draw no bet (0.0)59.0%
Deportivo +0.2567.1%
Deportivo +0.575.2%
Deportivo +0.7579.0%
Deportivo +1.082.9%
Deportivo +1.590.7%
Deportivo +2.094.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Deportivo win2.33
Draw3.10
Elche win4.03
Over 2.52.62
Under 2.51.62

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Deportivo wins by more than 1 goals21%
Elche wins by more than 1 goals9%
Corners
Expected total corners8.8
6.5+ corners in the match52%
Cards
Expected total cards3.8
2.5+ cards in the match52%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Atletico Madrid (away)Sun 25/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs OsasunaTue 03/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs Villarreal (away)Sat 17/10, 21:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs Rayo Vallecano (away)Sat 24/10, 19:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

La Liga table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona8+2724
2Atletico Madrid8+1019
3Real Betis8+519
...
7Alaves8+411
8Deportivo9+111
9Celta Vigo8+28
...
17Levante8-47
18Elche8-66
19Valencia8-95

See the full La Liga table