Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Faroe Islands
15%
Draw
26%
Slovakia
60%
Actual result: Faroe Islands 1 – 1 Slovakia · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Faroe Islands, negative favours Slovakia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Faroe Islands - Slovakia)-0.94
Expected total goals2.27
Expected goals Faroe Islands / Slovakia0.66 / 1.60
Both teams to score (yes / no)39.2% / 60.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 66.6%
Over 2.5 goals 39.5%
Over 3.5 goals 19.4%
First half
First-half result (Faroe Islands / draw / Slovakia)13.5% / 45.0% / 41.6%
A goal in the first half63.6%
Two or more in the first half27.5%
Half-time then full-time
Slovakia lead at half-time then Slovakia win37.3%
Level at half-time then Slovakia win20.8%
Level at half-time then draw17.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Faroe Islands's side
Faroe Islands −2.02.4%
Faroe Islands −1.753.2%
Faroe Islands −1.53.9%
Faroe Islands −1.256.6%
Faroe Islands −1.09.3%
Faroe Islands −0.7512.0%
Faroe Islands −0.514.6%
Faroe Islands −0.2521.1%
Faroe Islands draw no bet (0.0)27.5%
Faroe Islands +0.2533.9%
Faroe Islands +0.540.3%
Faroe Islands +0.7547.0%
Faroe Islands +1.053.7%
Faroe Islands +1.567.0%
Faroe Islands +2.076.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Faroe Islands win6.84
Draw3.89
Slovakia win1.68
Over 2.52.53
Under 2.51.65
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Faroe Islands wins by more than 1 goals4%
Slovakia wins by more than 1 goals33%