Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
FC Basel
34%
Draw
26%
Sion
40%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Basel, negative favours Sion) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FC Basel - Sion)-0.12
Expected total goals3.18
Expected goals FC Basel / Sion1.53 / 1.65
Both teams to score (yes / no)64.5% / 35.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 83.9%
Over 2.5 goals 61.5%
Over 3.5 goals 39.2%
First half
First-half result (FC Basel / draw / Sion)28.0% / 40.8% / 31.2%
A goal in the first half74.6%
Two or more in the first half43.3%
Half-time then full-time
Sion lead at half-time then Sion win24.0%
FC Basel lead at half-time then FC Basel win20.6%
Level at half-time then draw15.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FC Basel's side
FC Basel −2.011.8%
FC Basel −1.7514.5%
FC Basel −1.517.1%
FC Basel −1.2521.4%
FC Basel −1.025.7%
FC Basel −0.7530.1%
FC Basel −0.534.4%
FC Basel −0.2540.9%
FC Basel draw no bet (0.0)47.4%
FC Basel +0.2553.9%
FC Basel +0.560.4%
FC Basel +0.7565.1%
FC Basel +1.069.8%
FC Basel +1.579.2%
FC Basel +2.085.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
FC Basel win2.91
Draw3.84
Sion win2.53
Over 2.51.63
Under 2.52.60
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
FC Basel wins by more than 1 goals17%
Sion wins by more than 1 goals21%