Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
73%
Draw
16%
AC Horsens
10%
Actual result: FC Copenhagen 2 – 0 AC Horsens · FC Copenhagen winJarvis gave this outcome: 73% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Copenhagen, negative favours AC Horsens) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FC Copenhagen - AC Horsens)+1.58
Expected total goals2.99
Expected goals FC Copenhagen / AC Horsens2.28 / 0.70
Both teams to score (yes / no)45.1% / 54.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.6%
Over 2.5 goals 57.4%
Over 3.5 goals 35.0%
First half
First-half result (FC Copenhagen / draw / AC Horsens)53.7% / 34.7% / 11.6%
A goal in the first half74.2%
Two or more in the first half38.6%
Half-time then full-time
FC Copenhagen lead at half-time then FC Copenhagen win49.7%
Level at half-time then FC Copenhagen win20.5%
Level at half-time then draw10.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FC Copenhagen's side
FC Copenhagen −2.038.6%
FC Copenhagen −1.7544.1%
FC Copenhagen −1.549.5%
FC Copenhagen −1.2555.5%
FC Copenhagen −1.061.4%
FC Copenhagen −0.7567.4%
FC Copenhagen −0.573.4%
FC Copenhagen −0.2577.5%
FC Copenhagen draw no bet (0.0)81.6%
FC Copenhagen +0.2585.7%
FC Copenhagen +0.589.9%
FC Copenhagen +0.7591.8%
FC Copenhagen +1.093.6%
FC Copenhagen +1.597.4%
FC Copenhagen +2.098.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
FC Copenhagen win1.36
Draw6.07
AC Horsens win9.86
Over 2.51.74
Under 2.52.35
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
FC Copenhagen wins by more than 1 goals49%
AC Horsens wins by more than 1 goals3%