Kazakhstan Premier League
FC Ordabasy vs FC Astana prediction
21:00, 12/09
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
FC Ordabasy
51%
Draw
27%
FC Astana
22%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Ordabasy, negative favours FC Astana) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FC Ordabasy - FC Astana)+0.62
Expected total goals2.73
Expected goals FC Ordabasy / FC Astana1.68 / 1.06
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.4% / 45.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.1%
Over 2.5 goals 51.5%
Over 3.5 goals 29.3%
First half
First-half result (FC Ordabasy / draw / FC Astana)37.2% / 43.2% / 19.6%
A goal in the first half69.5%
Two or more in the first half36.1%
Half-time then full-time
FC Ordabasy lead at half-time then FC Ordabasy win31.5%
Level at half-time then FC Ordabasy win17.5%
Level at half-time then draw16.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FC Ordabasy's side
FC Ordabasy −2.020.1%
FC Ordabasy −1.7524.1%
FC Ordabasy −1.528.1%
FC Ordabasy −1.2533.7%
FC Ordabasy −1.039.3%
FC Ordabasy −0.7545.0%
FC Ordabasy −0.550.6%
FC Ordabasy −0.2557.3%
FC Ordabasy draw no bet (0.0)64.1%
FC Ordabasy +0.2570.8%
FC Ordabasy +0.577.5%
FC Ordabasy +0.7580.9%
FC Ordabasy +1.084.4%
FC Ordabasy +1.591.2%
FC Ordabasy +2.094.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
FC Ordabasy win1.98
Draw3.71
FC Astana win4.45
Over 2.51.94
Under 2.52.06
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
FC Ordabasy wins by more than 1 goals28%
FC Astana wins by more than 1 goals9%