Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
FC Sabah
58%
Draw
22%
KuPS
19%
Actual result: FC Sabah 1 – 0 KuPS · FC Sabah winJarvis gave this outcome: 58% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Sabah, negative favours KuPS) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FC Sabah - KuPS)+0.90
Expected total goals2.89
Expected goals FC Sabah / KuPS1.90 / 1.00
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.8% / 46.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 78.6%
Over 2.5 goals 55.3%
Over 3.5 goals 32.9%
First half
First-half result (FC Sabah / draw / KuPS)42.9% / 38.9% / 18.2%
A goal in the first half72.7%
Two or more in the first half37.5%
Half-time then full-time
FC Sabah lead at half-time then FC Sabah win37.1%
Level at half-time then FC Sabah win18.3%
Level at half-time then draw13.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FC Sabah's side
FC Sabah −2.025.4%
FC Sabah −1.7529.8%
FC Sabah −1.534.3%
FC Sabah −1.2540.3%
FC Sabah −1.046.3%
FC Sabah −0.7552.3%
FC Sabah −0.558.3%
FC Sabah −0.2563.9%
FC Sabah draw no bet (0.0)69.5%
FC Sabah +0.2575.1%
FC Sabah +0.580.7%
FC Sabah +0.7583.8%
FC Sabah +1.086.9%
FC Sabah +1.593.2%
FC Sabah +2.095.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
FC Sabah win1.72
Draw4.47
KuPS win5.17
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.52.24
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
FC Sabah wins by more than 1 goals34%
KuPS wins by more than 1 goals7%