FIFA World Cup
France vs Morocco prediction
France
2 – 0
Full-time
Morocco
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
France
59%
Draw
26%
Morocco
14%
Actual result: France 2 – 0 Morocco · France winJarvis gave this outcome: 59% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours France, negative favours Morocco) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (France - Morocco)+0.98
Expected total goals2.46
Expected goals France / Morocco1.72 / 0.74
Both teams to score (yes / no)44.4% / 55.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 71.9%
Over 2.5 goals 44.5%
Over 3.5 goals 23.4%
First half
First-half result (France / draw / Morocco)42.0% / 44.5% / 13.6%
A goal in the first half65.8%
Two or more in the first half31.5%
Half-time then full-time
France ahead then France win37.7%
level then France win20.6%
level then draw17.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from France
France give 2 trái (−2.0)25.1%
France give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)29.9%
France give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)34.6%
France give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)40.8%
France give 1 trái (−1.0)47.0%
France give 3/4 trái (−0.75)53.2%
France give nửa trái (−0.5)59.4%
France give 1/4 trái (−0.25)66.0%
Level ball (0.0)72.6%
France receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)79.1%
France receive nửa trái (+0.5)85.7%
France receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)88.2%
France receive 1 trái (+1.0)90.6%
France receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)95.6%
France receive 2 trái (+2.0)97.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
France win1.68
Draw3.80
Morocco win7.01
Over 2.52.24
Under 2.51.80
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
France wins by more than 1 goals35%
Morocco wins by more than 1 goals4%
Corners
Expected total corners9.5
6.5+ corners in the match48%
Cards
Expected total cards2.8
2.5+ cards in the match53%