Japanese J League

Fukuoka vs Kobe prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Fukuoka vs Kobe (Japanese J League), 08/08/2026, finished 0-1: Kobe won. Before the match Jarvis gave Fukuoka 32%, the draw 30% and Kobe 38%; the actual result had a 38% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Fukuoka

32%

Draw

30%

Kobe

38%

Actual result: Fukuoka 0 – 1 Kobe · Kobe winJarvis gave this outcome: 38% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Fukuoka, negative favours Kobe) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Fukuoka - Kobe)-0.12

Expected total goals2.75

Expected goals Fukuoka / Kobe1.32 / 1.44

Both teams to score (yes / no)58.2% / 41.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 78.5%

Over 2.5 goals 52.0%

Over 3.5 goals 29.8%

First half

First-half result (Fukuoka / draw / Kobe)25.5% / 45.6% / 28.9%

A goal in the first half68.8%

Two or more in the first half37.4%

Half-time then full-time

Kobe lead at half-time then Kobe win22.7%

Fukuoka lead at half-time then Fukuoka win19.1%

Level at half-time then draw18.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Fukuoka's side

Fukuoka −2.010.3%

Fukuoka −1.7512.8%

Fukuoka −1.515.2%

Fukuoka −1.2519.4%

Fukuoka −1.023.7%

Fukuoka −0.7527.9%

Fukuoka −0.532.1%

Fukuoka −0.2539.6%

Fukuoka draw no bet (0.0)47.2%

Fukuoka +0.2554.8%

Fukuoka +0.562.4%

Fukuoka +0.7567.0%

Fukuoka +1.071.7%

Fukuoka +1.581.0%

Fukuoka +2.086.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Fukuoka win3.12

Draw3.30

Kobe win2.66

Over 2.51.92

Under 2.52.08

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Fukuoka wins by more than 1 goals15%

Kobe wins by more than 1 goals19%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match