Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Actual result: Gangwon 0 – 3 Bucheon FC 1995 · Bucheon FC 1995 winJarvis gave this outcome: 14%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Gangwon, negative favours Bucheon FC 1995) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Gangwon - Bucheon FC 1995)+0.98
Expected total goals2.42
Expected goals Gangwon / Bucheon FC 19951.70 / 0.72
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.3% / 56.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.8%
Over 2.5 goals 43.7%
Over 3.5 goals 22.7%
First half
First-half result (Gangwon / draw / Bucheon FC 1995)42.1% / 44.3% / 13.6%
A goal in the first half65.5%
Two or more in the first half30.7%
Half-time then full-time
Gangwon lead at half-time then Gangwon win37.8%
Level at half-time then Gangwon win20.6%
Level at half-time then draw17.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Gangwon's side
Gangwon −2.024.9%
Gangwon −1.7529.7%
Gangwon −1.534.4%
Gangwon −1.2540.7%
Gangwon −1.047.1%
Gangwon −0.7553.4%
Gangwon −0.559.7%
Gangwon −0.2566.2%
Gangwon draw no bet (0.0)72.6%
Gangwon +0.2579.1%
Gangwon +0.585.6%
Gangwon +0.7588.1%
Gangwon +1.090.6%
Gangwon +1.595.7%
Gangwon +2.097.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Gangwon win1.68
Draw3.86
Bucheon FC 1995 win6.94
Over 2.52.29
Under 2.51.78
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Gangwon wins by more than 1 goals34%
Bucheon FC 1995 wins by more than 1 goals4%
