Egyptian League Cup
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Abo Qair Semads prediction
00:00, 09/10
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Ghazl El Mahallah
39%
Draw
37%
Abo Qair Semads
24%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ghazl El Mahallah, negative favours Abo Qair Semads) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Ghazl El Mahallah - Abo Qair Semads)+0.27
Expected total goals1.67
Expected goals Ghazl El Mahallah / Abo Qair Semads0.97 / 0.70
Both teams to score (yes / no)32.8% / 67.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 51.3%
Over 2.5 goals 23.4%
Over 3.5 goals 8.8%
First half
First-half result (Ghazl El Mahallah / draw / Abo Qair Semads)26.7% / 55.5% / 17.8%
A goal in the first half52.0%
Two or more in the first half18.2%
Half-time then full-time
Level at half-time then draw28.1%
Ghazl El Mahallah lead at half-time then Ghazl El Mahallah win22.4%
Level at half-time then Ghazl El Mahallah win16.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Ghazl El Mahallah's side
Ghazl El Mahallah −2.09.9%
Ghazl El Mahallah −1.7512.6%
Ghazl El Mahallah −1.515.4%
Ghazl El Mahallah −1.2521.3%
Ghazl El Mahallah −1.027.2%
Ghazl El Mahallah −0.7533.1%
Ghazl El Mahallah −0.539.0%
Ghazl El Mahallah −0.2548.3%
Ghazl El Mahallah draw no bet (0.0)57.6%
Ghazl El Mahallah +0.2566.9%
Ghazl El Mahallah +0.576.2%
Ghazl El Mahallah +0.7580.3%
Ghazl El Mahallah +1.084.5%
Ghazl El Mahallah +1.592.8%
Ghazl El Mahallah +2.095.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Ghazl El Mahallah win2.56
Draw2.69
Abo Qair Semads win4.20
Over 2.54.27
Under 2.51.31
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Ghazl El Mahallah wins by more than 1 goals15%
Abo Qair Semads wins by more than 1 goals7%