Friendlies International
Gibraltar vs Sao Tome E Principe prediction
0 – 0
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Gibraltar
88%
Draw
9%
Sao Tome E Principe
2%
Actual result: Gibraltar 0 – 0 Sao Tome E Principe · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 9%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Gibraltar, negative favours Sao Tome E Principe) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Gibraltar - Sao Tome E Principe)+2.77
Expected total goals3.83
Expected goals Gibraltar / Sao Tome E Principe3.30 / 0.53
Both teams to score (yes / no)40.2% / 59.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 90.2%
Over 2.5 goals 73.5%
Over 3.5 goals 53.2%
First half
First-half result (Gibraltar / draw / Sao Tome E Principe)68.4% / 27.3% / 4.4%
A goal in the first half80.9%
Two or more in the first half52.6%
Half-time then full-time
Gibraltar lead at half-time then Gibraltar win67.0%
Level at half-time then Gibraltar win20.2%
Level at half-time then draw6.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Gibraltar's side
Gibraltar −2.063.2%
Gibraltar −1.7568.3%
Gibraltar −1.573.4%
Gibraltar −1.2577.1%
Gibraltar −1.080.8%
Gibraltar −0.7584.5%
Gibraltar −0.588.2%
Gibraltar −0.2590.6%
Gibraltar draw no bet (0.0)92.9%
Gibraltar +0.2595.3%
Gibraltar +0.597.7%
Gibraltar +0.7598.1%
Gibraltar +1.098.5%
Gibraltar +1.599.4%
Gibraltar +2.099.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Gibraltar win1.13
Draw10.54
Sao Tome E Principe win42.82
Over 2.51.36
Under 2.53.78
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Gibraltar wins by more than 1 goals73%
Sao Tome E Principe wins by more than 1 goals1%