Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Hacken
62%
Draw
21%
Mjallby
17%
Actual result: Hacken 1 – 1 Mjallby · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 21%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hacken, negative favours Mjallby) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Hacken - Mjallby)+1.09
Expected total goals3.11
Expected goals Hacken / Mjallby2.10 / 1.01
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.4% / 43.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.2%
Over 2.5 goals 60.1%
Over 3.5 goals 37.8%
First half
First-half result (Hacken / draw / Mjallby)45.7% / 37.7% / 16.7%
A goal in the first half74.7%
Two or more in the first half41.4%
Half-time then full-time
Hacken lead at half-time then Hacken win40.3%
Level at half-time then Hacken win18.8%
Level at half-time then draw12.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Hacken's side
Hacken −2.029.4%
Hacken −1.7534.1%
Hacken −1.538.8%
Hacken −1.2544.5%
Hacken −1.050.3%
Hacken −0.7556.0%
Hacken −0.561.8%
Hacken −0.2567.1%
Hacken draw no bet (0.0)72.5%
Hacken +0.2577.8%
Hacken +0.583.1%
Hacken +0.7585.8%
Hacken +1.088.6%
Hacken +1.594.0%
Hacken +2.096.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Hacken win1.62
Draw4.68
Mjallby win5.93
Over 2.51.66
Under 2.52.51
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Hacken wins by more than 1 goals39%
Mjallby wins by more than 1 goals6%