Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
HamHamburg Eimsbutteler BC
2%
Dortmund
95%
Actual result: Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC 0 – 5 Dortmund · Dortmund winJarvis gave this outcome: 95% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC, negative favours Dortmund) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC - Dortmund)-3.87
Expected total goals5.16
Expected goals Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC / Dortmund0.65 / 4.51
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.7% / 53.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 96.1%
Over 2.5 goals 88.8%
Over 3.5 goals 75.6%
First half
First-half result (Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC / draw / Dortmund)5.5% / 14.2% / 80.3%
A goal in the first half91.3%
Two or more in the first half66.2%
Half-time then full-time
Dortmund lead at half-time then Dortmund win78.8%
Level at half-time then Dortmund win12.1%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC lead at half-time then Dortmund win3.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC's side
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −2.00.2%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −1.750.3%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −1.50.3%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −1.250.7%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −1.01.1%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −0.751.5%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −0.51.9%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC −0.252.8%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC draw no bet (0.0)3.6%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC +0.254.4%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC +0.55.2%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC +0.757.5%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC +1.09.8%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC +1.514.3%
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC +2.021.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC win51.70
Draw30.48
Dortmund win1.06
Over 2.51.13
Under 2.58.93
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Hamburg Eimsbutteler BC wins by more than 1 goals0%
Dortmund wins by more than 1 goals85%
