Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
HB Koge
39%
Draw
29%
Hobro
32%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours HB Koge, negative favours Hobro) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (HB Koge - Hobro)+0.15
Expected total goals2.70
Expected goals HB Koge / Hobro1.42 / 1.27
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.3% / 43.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 76.8%
Over 2.5 goals 50.5%
Over 3.5 goals 28.5%
First half
First-half result (HB Koge / draw / Hobro)29.8% / 44.7% / 25.4%
A goal in the first half68.7%
Two or more in the first half35.7%
Half-time then full-time
HB Koge lead at half-time then HB Koge win23.4%
Hobro lead at half-time then Hobro win18.8%
Level at half-time then draw18.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from HB Koge's side
HB Koge −2.013.3%
HB Koge −1.7516.3%
HB Koge −1.519.3%
HB Koge −1.2524.2%
HB Koge −1.029.1%
HB Koge −0.7534.0%
HB Koge −0.539.0%
HB Koge −0.2546.3%
HB Koge draw no bet (0.0)53.6%
HB Koge +0.2560.9%
HB Koge +0.568.2%
HB Koge +0.7572.5%
HB Koge +1.076.8%
HB Koge +1.585.5%
HB Koge +2.090.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
HB Koge win2.57
Draw3.43
Hobro win3.14
Over 2.51.98
Under 2.52.02
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
HB Koge wins by more than 1 goals19%
Hobro wins by more than 1 goals14%