Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Inter
86%
Draw
9%
Parma
5%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Inter, negative favours Parma) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Inter - Parma)+2.45
Expected total goals3.59
Expected goals Inter / Parma3.02 / 0.57
Both teams to score (yes / no)40.9% / 59.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 87.0%
Over 2.5 goals 69.5%
Over 3.5 goals 48.2%
First half
First-half result (Inter / draw / Parma)66.2% / 26.6% / 7.2%
A goal in the first half80.5%
Two or more in the first half47.5%
Half-time then full-time
Inter lead at half-time then Inter win63.7%
Level at half-time then Inter win19.1%
Level at half-time then draw5.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Inter's side
Inter −2.057.1%
Inter −1.7562.5%
Inter −1.567.9%
Inter −1.2572.4%
Inter −1.077.0%
Inter −0.7581.5%
Inter −0.586.0%
Inter −0.2588.4%
Inter draw no bet (0.0)90.7%
Inter +0.2593.1%
Inter +0.595.5%
Inter +0.7596.4%
Inter +1.097.3%
Inter +1.599.1%
Inter +2.099.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Inter win1.16
Draw10.61
Parma win22.03
Over 2.51.44
Under 2.53.27
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Inter wins by more than 1 goals68%
Parma wins by more than 1 goals1%
Corners
Expected total corners10.0
6.5+ corners in the match55%