Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Konyaspor
25%
Draw
28%
Trabzonspor
47%
Actual result: Konyaspor 1 – 0 Trabzonspor · Konyaspor winJarvis gave this outcome: 25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Konyaspor, negative favours Trabzonspor) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Konyaspor - Trabzonspor)-0.51
Expected total goals2.83
Expected goals Konyaspor / Trabzonspor1.16 / 1.67
Both teams to score (yes / no)57.6% / 42.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.3%
Over 2.5 goals 53.8%
Over 3.5 goals 31.5%
First half
First-half result (Konyaspor / draw / Trabzonspor)21.0% / 43.7% / 35.3%
A goal in the first half70.2%
Two or more in the first half38.2%
Half-time then full-time
Trabzonspor lead at half-time then Trabzonspor win29.4%
Level at half-time then draw17.3%
Level at half-time then Trabzonspor win16.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Konyaspor's side
Konyaspor −2.06.9%
Konyaspor −1.758.7%
Konyaspor −1.510.5%
Konyaspor −1.2514.0%
Konyaspor −1.017.5%
Konyaspor −0.7521.1%
Konyaspor −0.524.6%
Konyaspor −0.2531.6%
Konyaspor draw no bet (0.0)38.6%
Konyaspor +0.2545.6%
Konyaspor +0.552.6%
Konyaspor +0.7557.9%
Konyaspor +1.063.2%
Konyaspor +1.573.7%
Konyaspor +2.081.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Konyaspor win4.07
Draw3.57
Trabzonspor win2.11
Over 2.51.86
Under 2.52.16
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Konyaspor wins by more than 1 goals10%
Trabzonspor wins by more than 1 goals26%