Norwegian Eliteserien

Kristiansund vs Molde prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Kristiansund vs Molde (Norwegian Eliteserien), 10/08/2026, finished 2-1: Kristiansund won. Before the match Jarvis gave Kristiansund 19%, the draw 23% and Molde 58%; the actual result had a 19% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Kristiansund

19%

Draw

23%

Molde

58%

Actual result: Kristiansund 2 – 1 Molde · Kristiansund winJarvis gave this outcome: 19%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Kristiansund, negative favours Molde) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Kristiansund - Molde)-0.94

Expected total goals3.21

Expected goals Kristiansund / Molde1.13 / 2.07

Both teams to score (yes / no)60.3% / 39.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.0%

Over 2.5 goals 62.1%

Over 3.5 goals 39.9%

First half

First-half result (Kristiansund / draw / Molde)18.1% / 38.9% / 43.1%

A goal in the first half75.1%

Two or more in the first half43.6%

Half-time then full-time

Molde lead at half-time then Molde win37.5%

Level at half-time then Molde win18.2%

Level at half-time then draw13.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Kristiansund's side

Kristiansund −2.04.9%

Kristiansund −1.756.2%

Kristiansund −1.57.6%

Kristiansund −1.2510.4%

Kristiansund −1.013.3%

Kristiansund −0.7516.1%

Kristiansund −0.519.0%

Kristiansund −0.2524.8%

Kristiansund draw no bet (0.0)30.5%

Kristiansund +0.2536.3%

Kristiansund +0.542.0%

Kristiansund +0.7547.5%

Kristiansund +1.053.0%

Kristiansund +1.563.9%

Kristiansund +2.072.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Kristiansund win5.26

Draw4.34

Molde win1.73

Over 2.51.61

Under 2.52.64

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Kristiansund wins by more than 1 goals8%

Molde wins by more than 1 goals36%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match