Spanish La Liga
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao prediction
02:30, 17/09
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Levante
27%
Draw
29%
Athletic Bilbao
44%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Levante, negative favours Athletic Bilbao) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Levante - Athletic Bilbao)-0.36
Expected total goals2.75
Expected goals Levante / Athletic Bilbao1.20 / 1.56
Both teams to score (yes / no)57.0% / 43.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 78.0%
Over 2.5 goals 51.9%
Over 3.5 goals 29.7%
First half
First-half result (Levante / draw / Athletic Bilbao)22.7% / 44.6% / 32.8%
A goal in the first half69.2%
Two or more in the first half36.9%
Half-time then full-time
Athletic Bilbao lead at half-time then Athletic Bilbao win26.7%
Level at half-time then draw18.0%
Levante lead at half-time then Levante win16.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Levante's side
Levante −2.07.9%
Levante −1.7510.0%
Levante −1.512.0%
Levante −1.2515.8%
Levante −1.019.7%
Levante −0.7523.5%
Levante −0.527.4%
Levante −0.2534.6%
Levante draw no bet (0.0)41.9%
Levante +0.2549.1%
Levante +0.556.3%
Levante +0.7561.5%
Levante +1.066.6%
Levante +1.576.9%
Levante +2.083.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Levante win3.65
Draw3.45
Athletic Bilbao win2.29
Over 2.51.93
Under 2.52.08
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Levante wins by more than 1 goals12%
Athletic Bilbao wins by more than 1 goals23%
Corners
Expected total corners10.0
6.5+ corners in the match54%
Cards
Expected total cards4.4
2.5+ cards in the match46%