Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time

Blackburn
31%
Actual result: Lincoln 0 – 0 Blackburn · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 29%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lincoln, negative favours Blackburn) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Lincoln - Blackburn)+0.20
Expected total goals2.60
Expected goals Lincoln / Blackburn1.40 / 1.20
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.2% / 45.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.8%
Over 2.5 goals 48.2%
Over 3.5 goals 26.4%
First half
First-half result (Lincoln / draw / Blackburn)30.3% / 45.1% / 24.6%
A goal in the first half67.7%
Two or more in the first half34.0%
Half-time then full-time
Lincoln lead at half-time then Lincoln win24.0%
Level at half-time then draw18.4%
Blackburn lead at half-time then Blackburn win18.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Lincoln's side
Lincoln −2.013.4%
Lincoln −1.7516.5%
Lincoln −1.519.5%
Lincoln −1.2524.6%
Lincoln −1.029.7%
Lincoln −0.7534.8%
Lincoln −0.539.9%
Lincoln −0.2547.3%
Lincoln draw no bet (0.0)54.6%
Lincoln +0.2561.9%
Lincoln +0.569.2%
Lincoln +0.7573.6%
Lincoln +1.077.9%
Lincoln +1.586.6%
Lincoln +2.091.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Lincoln win2.50
Draw3.41
Blackburn win3.25
Over 2.52.08
Under 2.51.93
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Lincoln wins by more than 1 goals20%
Blackburn wins by more than 1 goals13%