French Ligue 1

Lyon vs Auxerre prediction

3 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Lyon vs Auxerre (Ligue 1), 05/09/2026, finished 3-1: Lyon won. Before the match Jarvis gave Lyon 68%, the draw 20% and Auxerre 12%; the final result (Lyon win) had a 68% chance. The score 3-1 had a 6.9% chance, the 6th most likely scoreline of the model; the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.
Full-time
Lyon
68%
Draw
20%
Auxerre
12%
Probability trajectory · full match
Final result: Lyon 3 – 1 Auxerre · Lyon winJarvis gave this outcome: 68% ✓
Jarvis supercomputer
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lyon, negative favours Auxerre) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Lyon win1.47
Draw4.93
Auxerre win8.59
Over 2.51.77
Under 2.52.30

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)
Lines shown from Lyon's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
Both teams to score
First half
First-half result (Lyon / draw / Auxerre)49.4% / 38.1% / 12.5%
A goal in the first half72.7%
Two or more in the first half39.0%
Half-time then full-time
Lyon lead at half-time then Lyon win45.3%
Level at half-time then Lyon win20.7%
Level at half-time then draw12.6%
Corners
Expected total corners4.3
6.5+ corners in the match15%
Cards
Expected total cards2.8
2.5+ cards in the match52%

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs TSG Hoffenheim (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Paris Saint-Germain (away)Mon 26/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Le MansSun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Strasbourg (away)Sun 01/11, 21:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Lyon7+814
2Paris Saint-Germain7+514
3Paris FC7+514
...
11Toulouse7+19
12AJ Auxerre7-69
13Nice7-38

See the full Ligue 1 table