Match summary
Betis vs Real Madrid (La Liga), 05/09/2026, finished 1-0: Betis won. Before the match Jarvis gave Betis 14%, the draw 19% and Real Madrid 67%; the actual result had a 14% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.5.
Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs BarcelonaSat 17/10, 23:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 15% / 17% / 68%
- vs Feyenoord RotterdamThu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
- vs SevillaMon 19/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 79% / 14% / 7%
- vs RB LeipzigThu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)
- Lyon vs Auxerre00:00 · Ligue 13–1
- Stuttgart vs FC Koln01:30 · Bundesliga4–1
- Genoa vs Como01:45 · Serie A1–4
- Ipswich vs Liverpool02:00 · Premier League0–2
- Paris St-G vs Monaco02:05 · Ligue 11–2
- Newcastle vs Bournemouth18:30 · Premier League2–2
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
La Liga table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | +1 | 14 |