English Premier League

Ipswich vs Liverpool prediction

0 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

Ipswich vs Liverpool (Premier League), 05/09/2026, finished 0-2: Liverpool won. Before the match Jarvis gave Ipswich 15%, the draw 20% and Liverpool 64%; the actual result had a 64% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Ipswich
15%
Draw
20%
Liverpool
64%
Actual result: Ipswich 0 – 2 Liverpool · Liverpool winJarvis gave this outcome: 64% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ipswich, negative favours Liverpool) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Ipswich - Liverpool)-1.26
Expected total goals3.46
Expected goals Ipswich / Liverpool1.10 / 2.36
Both teams to score (yes / no)61.4% / 38.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.9%
Over 2.5 goals 67.2%
Over 3.5 goals 45.6%
First half
First-half result (Ipswich / draw / Liverpool)15.9% / 36.0% / 48.1%
A goal in the first half77.8%
Two or more in the first half47.3%
Half-time then full-time
Liverpool lead at half-time then Liverpool win43.0%
Level at half-time then Liverpool win18.8%
Level at half-time then draw11.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Ipswich's side
Ipswich −2.03.8%
Ipswich −1.754.8%
Ipswich −1.55.9%
Ipswich −1.258.3%
Ipswich −1.010.7%
Ipswich −0.7513.1%
Ipswich −0.515.4%
Ipswich −0.2520.5%
Ipswich draw no bet (0.0)25.5%
Ipswich +0.2530.5%
Ipswich +0.535.5%
Ipswich +0.7540.9%
Ipswich +1.046.2%
Ipswich +1.556.9%
Ipswich +2.066.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Ipswich win6.48
Draw4.98
Liverpool win1.55
Over 2.51.49
Under 2.53.05

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Ipswich wins by more than 1 goals6%
Liverpool wins by more than 1 goals43%
Corners
Expected total corners10.2
6.5+ corners in the match45%
Cards
Expected total cards3.3
2.5+ cards in the match42%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Nottingham ForestSat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs Hull City (away)Sat 31/10, 22:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs VillarrealWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Brighton & Hove AlbionSun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

See the full Premier League table