English Premier League

Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction

2 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

Newcastle vs Bournemouth (Premier League), 05/09/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Newcastle 45%, the draw 27% and Bournemouth 28%; the final result (a draw) had a 27% chance. The score 2-2 had a 6.2% chance, the 7th most likely scoreline of the model; the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.
Full-time
Newcastle
45%
Draw
27%
Bournemouth
28%
Probability trajectory · full match
Final result: Newcastle 2 – 2 Bournemouth · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 27%Final call: Jarvis predicted it right from minute 89′
Jarvis supercomputer
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Newcastle, negative favours Bournemouth) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Newcastle win2.22
Draw3.74
Bournemouth win3.54
Over 2.51.72
Under 2.52.39

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)
Lines shown from Newcastle's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
Both teams to score
First half
First-half result (Newcastle / draw / Bournemouth)34.2% / 42.0% / 23.8%
A goal in the first half72.7%
Two or more in the first half41.1%
Half-time then full-time
Newcastle lead at half-time then Newcastle win27.8%
Bournemouth lead at half-time then Bournemouth win16.6%
Level at half-time then draw15.9%
Corners
Expected total corners10.7
6.5+ corners in the match50%
Cards
Expected total cards4.2
2.5+ cards in the match41%

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Crystal Palace (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs EvertonTue 03/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs AC MilanFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Manchester United (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

See the full Premier League table