French Ligue 1

PSG vs Monaco prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

PSG vs Monaco (Ligue 1), 05/09/2026, finished 1-2: Monaco won. Before the match Jarvis gave PSG 72%, the draw 16% and Monaco 11%; the final result (Monaco win) had an 11% chance. The score 1-2 had a 3.4% chance; the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 3.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.

Full-time

PSG

72%

Draw

16%

Monaco

11%

Probability trajectory · full match

Final result: PSG 1 – 2 Monaco · Monaco winJarvis gave this outcome: 11%

Jarvis supercomputer

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours PSG, negative favours Monaco) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (PSG - Monaco)Actual -1+1.67

Expected total goalsActual 33.67

Expected goals PSG / MonacoActual 1 / 22.67 / 1.00

Market-standard price (decimal)

PSG win1.38

Draw6.21

Monaco win8.77

Over 2.51.41

Under 2.53.45

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 3.5 goalsDid not happen50.0%

Over 2.5 goalsHappened71.0%

Over 1.5 goalsHappened88.5%

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from PSG's side

PSG −1.5Did not happen51.9%

PSG −1.75Did not happen46.8%

PSG −1.25Did not happen57.0%

PSG −2.0Did not happen41.7%

PSG −1.0Did not happen62.2%

PSG −0.75Did not happen67.3%

PSG −0.5Did not happen72.5%

PSG −0.25Did not happen76.5%

PSG draw no bet (0.0)Did not happen80.5%

PSG +0.25Did not happen84.6%

PSG +0.5Did not happen88.6%

PSG +0.75Half loss90.5%

PSG +1.0Push92.4%

PSG +1.5Happened96.1%

PSG +2.0Happened97.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

PSG wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen52%

Monaco wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen4%

Both teams to score

Yes / noHappened59.2% / 40.8%

First half

First-half result (PSG / draw / Monaco)54.6% / 32.0% / 13.4%

A goal in the first half80.4%

Two or more in the first half49.7%

Half-time then full-time

PSG lead at half-time then PSG win50.2%

Level at half-time then PSG win19.0%

Level at half-time then draw8.8%

Corners

Expected total corners10.0

6.5+ corners in the match54%

Cards

Expected total cards2.1

2.5+ cards in the match35%

Next fixtures of both teams

PSG

vs BarcelonaWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 39% / 21% / 39%
vs LyonMon 26/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Monaco

vs LilleSun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs Paris FC (away)Sun 01/11, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	7	+8	14
2	Paris Saint-Germain	7	+5	14
3	Paris FC	7	+5	14
4	Lille	7	+5	14
5	AS Monaco	7	+4	14
6	Stade Rennais	7	+1	13

See the full Ligue 1 table