German Bundesliga

Stuttgart vs FC Koln prediction

4 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Stuttgart vs FC Koln (Bundesliga), 05/09/2026, finished 4-1: Stuttgart won. Before the match Jarvis gave Stuttgart 66%, the draw 19% and FC Koln 15%; the final result (Stuttgart win) had a 66% chance. The score 4-1 had a 5.0% chance, the 8th most likely scoreline of the model; the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.7.

Next for Stuttgart: Atletico Madrid (Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the final result below.

Full-time

Stuttgart

66%

Draw

19%

FC Koln

15%

Probability trajectory · full match

Final result: Stuttgart 4 – 1 FC Koln · Stuttgart winJarvis gave this outcome: 66% ✓

Jarvis supercomputer

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Stuttgart, negative favours FC Koln) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Stuttgart - FC Koln)Actual +3+1.38

Expected total goalsActual 53.72

Expected goals Stuttgart / FC KolnActual 4 / 12.55 / 1.17

Market-standard price (decimal)

Stuttgart win1.50

Draw5.36

FC Koln win6.73

Over 2.51.39

Under 2.53.54

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 3.5 goalsHappened51.0%

Over 2.5 goalsHappened71.8%

Over 1.5 goalsHappened89.3%

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from Stuttgart's side

Stuttgart −1.25Happened51.0%

Stuttgart −1.5Happened45.9%

Stuttgart −1.0Happened56.2%

Stuttgart −1.75Happened41.1%

Stuttgart −0.75Happened61.3%

Stuttgart −2.0Happened36.2%

Stuttgart −0.5Happened66.5%

Stuttgart −0.25Happened71.1%

Stuttgart draw no bet (0.0)Happened75.8%

Stuttgart +0.25Happened80.5%

Stuttgart +0.5Happened85.1%

Stuttgart +0.75Happened87.4%

Stuttgart +1.0Happened89.7%

Stuttgart +1.5Happened94.2%

Stuttgart +2.0Happened96.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis supercomputer, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Stuttgart wins by more than 1 goalsHappened46%

FC Koln wins by more than 1 goalsDid not happen6%

Both teams to score

Yes / noHappened64.3% / 35.7%

First half

First-half result (Stuttgart / draw / FC Koln)50.0% / 34.2% / 15.8%

A goal in the first half80.1%

Two or more in the first half51.0%

Half-time then full-time

Stuttgart lead at half-time then Stuttgart win44.9%

Level at half-time then Stuttgart win18.5%

Level at half-time then draw10.2%

Corners

Expected total corners10.6

6.5+ corners in the match49%

Cards

Expected total cards2.0

2.5+ cards in the match33%

Next fixtures of both teams

Stuttgart

vs Atletico MadridWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 28% / 27% / 45%
vs Borussia MonchengladbachSat 24/10, 01:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27

Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Bundesliga table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	+17	14
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	+7	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	+9	13
...
12	FC Cologne	6	-3	7
13	VfB Stuttgart	6	-2	6
14	TSG Hoffenheim	6	-3	6

See the full Bundesliga table