Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Millwall
20%
Draw
24%
West Ham
56%
Actual result: Millwall 2 – 2 West Ham · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 24%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Millwall, negative favours West Ham) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Millwall - West Ham)-0.85
Expected total goals2.97
Expected goals Millwall / West Ham1.06 / 1.91
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.7% / 43.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.7%
Over 2.5 goals 56.9%
Over 3.5 goals 34.5%
First half
First-half result (Millwall / draw / West Ham)18.2% / 40.4% / 41.4%
A goal in the first half72.6%
Two or more in the first half39.7%
Half-time then full-time
West Ham lead at half-time then West Ham win35.8%
Level at half-time then West Ham win18.3%
Level at half-time then draw14.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Millwall's side
Millwall −2.04.8%
Millwall −1.756.2%
Millwall −1.57.5%
Millwall −1.2510.5%
Millwall −1.013.6%
Millwall −0.7516.6%
Millwall −0.519.6%
Millwall −0.2525.7%
Millwall draw no bet (0.0)31.7%
Millwall +0.2537.8%
Millwall +0.543.8%
Millwall +0.7549.5%
Millwall +1.055.2%
Millwall +1.566.5%
Millwall +2.075.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Millwall win5.10
Draw4.12
West Ham win1.78
Over 2.51.76
Under 2.52.32
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Millwall wins by more than 1 goals8%
West Ham wins by more than 1 goals34%
Corners
Expected total corners10.6
6.5+ corners in the match49%
Cards
Expected total cards3.3
2.5+ cards in the match43%