UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction
0 – 3
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
North Macedonia
8%
Draw
19%
Switzerland
73%
Actual result: North Macedonia 0 – 3 Switzerland · Switzerland winJarvis gave this outcome: 73% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours North Macedonia, negative favours Switzerland) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (North Macedonia - Switzerland)-1.51
Expected total goals2.47
Expected goals North Macedonia / Switzerland0.48 / 1.99
Both teams to score (yes / no)33.1% / 66.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.8%
Over 2.5 goals 44.9%
Over 3.5 goals 23.7%
First half
First-half result (North Macedonia / draw / Switzerland)8.6% / 39.8% / 51.6%
A goal in the first half67.0%
Two or more in the first half30.7%
Half-time then full-time
Switzerland lead at half-time then Switzerland win48.6%
Level at half-time then Switzerland win22.8%
Level at half-time then draw13.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from North Macedonia's side
North Macedonia −2.00.9%
North Macedonia −1.751.2%
North Macedonia −1.51.5%
North Macedonia −1.253.1%
North Macedonia −1.04.6%
North Macedonia −0.756.2%
North Macedonia −0.57.7%
North Macedonia −0.2512.5%
North Macedonia draw no bet (0.0)17.2%
North Macedonia +0.2522.0%
North Macedonia +0.526.7%
North Macedonia +0.7533.2%
North Macedonia +1.039.8%
North Macedonia +1.552.8%
North Macedonia +2.064.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
North Macedonia win12.93
Draw5.27
Switzerland win1.36
Over 2.52.23
Under 2.51.82
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
North Macedonia wins by more than 1 goals2%
Switzerland wins by more than 1 goals47%
Corners
Expected total corners9.4
6.5+ corners in the match46%
Cards
Expected total cards3.7
2.5+ cards in the match51%