Swedish Superettan
Orebro vs Ostersunds FK prediction
00:05, 08/09
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Orebro
34%
Draw
31%
Ostersunds FK
35%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Orebro, negative favours Ostersunds FK) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Orebro - Ostersunds FK)-0.01
Expected total goals2.53
Expected goals Orebro / Ostersunds FK1.26 / 1.27
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.5% / 46.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.9%
Over 2.5 goals 46.4%
Over 3.5 goals 24.9%
First half
First-half result (Orebro / draw / Ostersunds FK)26.6% / 46.5% / 26.9%
A goal in the first half66.3%
Two or more in the first half33.1%
Half-time then full-time
Ostersunds FK lead at half-time then Ostersunds FK win20.7%
Orebro lead at half-time then Orebro win20.3%
Level at half-time then draw19.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Orebro's side
Orebro −2.010.6%
Orebro −1.7513.2%
Orebro −1.515.8%
Orebro −1.2520.5%
Orebro −1.025.1%
Orebro −0.7529.7%
Orebro −0.534.3%
Orebro −0.2542.1%
Orebro draw no bet (0.0)49.8%
Orebro +0.2557.5%
Orebro +0.565.2%
Orebro +0.7569.8%
Orebro +1.074.5%
Orebro +1.583.8%
Orebro +2.089.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Orebro win2.91
Draw3.24
Ostersunds FK win2.87
Over 2.52.16
Under 2.51.87
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Orebro wins by more than 1 goals16%
Ostersunds FK wins by more than 1 goals16%