Swedish Superettan
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborgs prediction
00:05, 15/09
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Ostersunds FK
60%
Draw
25%
Helsingborgs
15%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ostersunds FK, negative favours Helsingborgs) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Ostersunds FK - Helsingborgs)+0.99
Expected total goals2.55
Expected goals Ostersunds FK / Helsingborgs1.77 / 0.78
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.1% / 53.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.4%
Over 2.5 goals 47.0%
Over 3.5 goals 25.4%
First half
First-half result (Ostersunds FK / draw / Helsingborgs)42.7% / 43.0% / 14.4%
A goal in the first half67.4%
Two or more in the first half32.7%
Half-time then full-time
Ostersunds FK lead at half-time then Ostersunds FK win38.1%
Level at half-time then Ostersunds FK win20.2%
Level at half-time then draw16.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Ostersunds FK's side
Ostersunds FK −2.025.6%
Ostersunds FK −1.7530.4%
Ostersunds FK −1.535.1%
Ostersunds FK −1.2541.3%
Ostersunds FK −1.047.5%
Ostersunds FK −0.7553.7%
Ostersunds FK −0.559.8%
Ostersunds FK −0.2566.1%
Ostersunds FK draw no bet (0.0)72.4%
Ostersunds FK +0.2578.6%
Ostersunds FK +0.584.9%
Ostersunds FK +0.7587.5%
Ostersunds FK +1.090.1%
Ostersunds FK +1.595.2%
Ostersunds FK +2.097.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Ostersunds FK win1.67
Draw3.99
Helsingborgs win6.62
Over 2.52.13
Under 2.51.89
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Ostersunds FK wins by more than 1 goals35%
Helsingborgs wins by more than 1 goals5%