Match summary
Panama vs Croatia (World Cup), 24/06/2026, finished 0-1: Croatia won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Panama
14%
Draw
24%
Croatia
63%
Actual result: Panama 0 – 1 Croatia · Croatia winJarvis gave this outcome: 63% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Panama, negative favours Croatia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Panama - Croatia)-1.09
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Panama / Croatia0.71 / 1.79
Both teams to score (yes / no)42.8% / 57.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 71.8%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Panama / draw / Croatia)13.2% / 42.3% / 44.5%
A goal in the first half67.1%
Two or more in the first half31.5%
Half-time then full-time
Croatia lead at half-time then Croatia win40.2%
Level at half-time then Croatia win20.8%
Level at half-time then draw15.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Panama's side
Panama −2.02.3%
Panama −1.753.1%
Panama −1.53.9%
Panama −1.256.3%
Panama −1.08.7%
Panama −0.7511.2%
Panama −0.513.6%
Panama −0.2519.5%
Panama draw no bet (0.0)25.4%
Panama +0.2531.3%
Panama +0.537.2%
Panama +0.7543.6%
Panama +1.050.0%
Panama +1.562.9%
Panama +2.072.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Panama win7.33
Draw4.25
Croatia win1.59
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–1
14.1%
0–2
13.2%
1–1
11.0%
1–2
9.3%
0–0
8.8%
0–3
7.9%
Goal margin
Panama wins by more than 1 goals4%
Croatia wins by more than 1 goals37%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 24/06 (GMT+7)
- Portugal vs Uzbekistan00:00 · World Cup5–0
- England vs Ghana03:00 · World Cup0–0
- Colombia vs DR Congo09:00 · World Cup1–0
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.