South Korean K1 League

Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu (South Korean K1 League), 01/08/2026, finished 0-1: Gimcheon Sangmu won. Before the match Jarvis gave Pohang Steelers 35%, the draw 33% and Gimcheon Sangmu 32%; the actual result had a 32% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Pohang Steelers

35%

Draw

33%

Gimcheon Sangmu

32%

Actual result: Pohang Steelers 0 – 1 Gimcheon Sangmu · Gimcheon Sangmu winJarvis gave this outcome: 32%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Pohang Steelers, negative favours Gimcheon Sangmu) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu)+0.05

Expected total goals2.21

Expected goals Pohang Steelers / Gimcheon Sangmu1.13 / 1.08

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.7% / 53.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 66.8%

Over 2.5 goals 38.1%

Over 3.5 goals 18.3%

First half

First-half result (Pohang Steelers / draw / Gimcheon Sangmu)26.1% / 49.3% / 24.6%

A goal in the first half61.7%

Two or more in the first half27.6%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw22.1%

Pohang Steelers lead at half-time then Pohang Steelers win20.4%

Gimcheon Sangmu lead at half-time then Gimcheon Sangmu win18.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Pohang Steelers's side

Pohang Steelers −2.09.9%

Pohang Steelers −1.7512.5%

Pohang Steelers −1.515.1%

Pohang Steelers −1.2520.0%

Pohang Steelers −1.025.0%

Pohang Steelers −0.7529.9%

Pohang Steelers −0.534.8%

Pohang Steelers −0.2543.0%

Pohang Steelers draw no bet (0.0)51.3%

Pohang Steelers +0.2559.5%

Pohang Steelers +0.567.7%

Pohang Steelers +0.7572.4%

Pohang Steelers +1.077.1%

Pohang Steelers +1.586.5%

Pohang Steelers +2.091.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Pohang Steelers win2.87

Draw3.04

Gimcheon Sangmu win3.09

Over 2.52.63

Under 2.51.61

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Pohang Steelers wins by more than 1 goals15%

Gimcheon Sangmu wins by more than 1 goals14%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match