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Philadelphia vs Charlotte FC prediction

Philadelphia
01:30, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Charlotte FC

Quick preview

Philadelphia meet Charlotte FC in the US MLS, kick-off 01:30 on 18/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives Philadelphia a 68% chance to win, 18% for a draw and 14% for Charlotte FC; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 3.7 goals in the match: both teams score with 63%, 3 or more goals with 71%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Philadelphia
68%
Draw
18%
Charlotte FC
14%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Philadelphia, negative favours Charlotte FC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Philadelphia - Charlotte FC)+1.42
Expected total goals3.69
Expected goals Philadelphia / Charlotte FC2.56 / 1.13
Both teams to score (yes / no)63.0% / 37.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 88.8%
Over 2.5 goals 71.3%
Over 3.5 goals 50.3%
First half
First-half result (Philadelphia / draw / Charlotte FC)50.9% / 33.5% / 15.6%
A goal in the first half80.2%
Two or more in the first half50.2%
Half-time then full-time
Philadelphia lead at half-time then Philadelphia win45.8%
Level at half-time then Philadelphia win18.5%
Level at half-time then draw9.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Philadelphia's side
Philadelphia −2.037.0%
Philadelphia −1.7541.9%
Philadelphia −1.546.8%
Philadelphia −1.2552.0%
Philadelphia −1.057.2%
Philadelphia −0.7562.4%
Philadelphia −0.567.6%
Philadelphia −0.2572.1%
Philadelphia draw no bet (0.0)76.6%
Philadelphia +0.2581.2%
Philadelphia +0.585.7%
Philadelphia +0.7587.9%
Philadelphia +1.090.1%
Philadelphia +1.594.6%
Philadelphia +2.096.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Philadelphia win1.48
Draw5.54
Charlotte FC win6.98
Over 2.51.40
Under 2.53.48

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Philadelphia wins by more than 1 goals47%
Charlotte FC wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory

Philadelphia vs Charlotte FC lineups

PhiladelphiaFormation 4-4-2
Coach: Ryan Richter
Starting lineup
18A. BlakeGK
39F. WestfieldDF
44Neil PierreDF
26N. HarrielDF
27K. WagnerDF
6Cavan SullivanMF
21D. Jean-JacquesMF
4J. LukicMF
19I. VassilevMF
10M. IloskiFW
9B. DamianiFW
Substitutes
14J. RafanelloMF
51M. JakupovicFW
16B. BenderMF
11A. BedoyaMF
5J. Sery LarsenDF
76A. RickGK
33Q. SullivanMF
28A. AnelloFW
23E. AlladohFW
Charlotte FCFormation 4-3-3
Coach: D. Smith
Starting lineup
1K. KahlinaGK
14N. ByrneDF
44M. AgyemangDF
22H. KesslerDF
23D. SchneggDF
28D. DianiMF
8A. WestwoodMF
16Pep BielMF
37R. AlokoFW
9I. Toklomati GiornoFW
10A. Saint-MaximinFW
Substitutes
13B. BronicoMF
35Will ClearyDF
17L. de la TorreMF
21T. MillerGK
4A. PrivettDF
3T. ReamDF
25Tyger SmallsFW
15H. ToffoloDF
11L. AbadaFW

Philadelphia vs Charlotte FC injury report and team news

Philadelphia
  • A. AnelloOut · Groin Injury
Charlotte FC
  • N. BerchimasOut · Foot Injury
  • A. GoodwinOut · Foot Injury
  • A. JohnOut · Shoulder Injury

Philadelphia vs Charlotte FC team form

PhiladelphiaWWWWW
Last 5 matches
15/10/2026Chicago Fire (away)3–1
10/10/2026Real Salt Lake (home)2–1
26/09/2026Orlando City SC (home)4–2
20/09/2026Sporting Kansas City (away)4–3
14/09/2026San Diego (away)5–0
Charlotte FCLWLWD
Last 5 matches
14/10/2026Columbus Crew (away)1–3
10/10/2026FC Dallas (home)3–2
26/09/2026Chicago Fire (home)0–1
19/09/2026DC United (away)2–1
12/09/2026FC Cincinnati (away)3–3

Philadelphia vs Charlotte FC head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Philadelphia won 4, drew 2, lost 4. Philadelphia scored 9 and conceded 13 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/2026Charlotte2–1Philadelphia Union
18/10/2025Charlotte2–0Philadelphia Union
14/06/2025Philadelphia Union2–1Charlotte
28/07/2024Philadelphia Union1–0Charlotte
22/06/2024Philadelphia Union0–2Charlotte
25/05/2024Charlotte0–0Philadelphia Union
20/09/2023Charlotte2–2Philadelphia Union
31/05/2023Philadelphia Union1–0Charlotte
01/10/2022Charlotte4–0Philadelphia Union
03/04/2022Philadelphia Union2–0Charlotte

Match information

Referee
Jon Freemon
Venue
Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia
Round
30

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.