French Ligue 1

Lille vs Brest prediction

01:45, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

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Lille meet Brest in the Ligue 1, kick-off 01:45 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Lille are 2nd (13 points from 6 games) and Brest are 8th (8 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Lille a 47% chance to win, 28% for a draw and 25% for Brest; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 2.5 goals in the match: both teams score with 50%, 3 or more goals with 46%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Lille
47%
Draw
28%
Brest
25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lille, negative favours Brest) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Lille - Brest)+0.48
Expected total goals2.51
Expected goals Lille / Brest1.49 / 1.02
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.3% / 49.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.3%
Over 2.5 goals 45.9%
Over 3.5 goals 24.5%
First half
First-half result (Lille / draw / Brest)34.7% / 44.4% / 20.9%
A goal in the first half67.0%
Two or more in the first half31.9%
Half-time then full-time
Lille lead at half-time then Lille win28.8%
Level at half-time then draw17.6%
Level at half-time then Lille win16.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Lille's side
Lille −2.016.9%
Lille −1.7520.6%
Lille −1.524.2%
Lille −1.2530.0%
Lille −1.035.8%
Lille −0.7541.6%
Lille −0.547.4%
Lille −0.2554.3%
Lille draw no bet (0.0)61.2%
Lille +0.2568.1%
Lille +0.575.1%
Lille +0.7578.9%
Lille +1.082.8%
Lille +1.590.6%
Lille +2.094.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Lille win2.11
Draw3.62
Brest win4.01
Over 2.52.18
Under 2.51.85

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Lille wins by more than 1 goals24%
Brest wins by more than 1 goals9%
Corners
Expected total corners9.5
6.5+ corners in the match48%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Lille vs Brest injury report and team news

Lille
  • H. IgamaneOut · Knee Injury
  • T. SantosOut · Knee Injury
  • A. UedaOut · Foot Injury
Brest
  • B. ChardonnetOut · Calf Injury
  • N. EdjoumaOut · Loan agreement
  • R. Le GuenOut · Broken Leg
  • G. VersiniOut · Leg Injury

Lille vs Brest team form

LilleLWWLW
Last 5 matches
13/10/2026Arsenal (away)0–3
10/10/2026Le Havre (home)1–0
02/10/2026Zulte Waregem (home)2–1
20/09/2026Nice (away)1–2
13/09/2026Estac Troyes (home)2–0
BrestWDLLW
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Angers (home)5–1
03/10/2026Monza (home)2–2
20/09/2026Auxerre (away)1–2
13/09/2026Paris Saint Germain (home)0–1
05/09/2026Le Havre (away)2–1

Lille vs Brest head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Lille won 3, drew 5, lost 2. Lille scored 12 and conceded 12 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/2026Lille1–1Stade Brestois 29
17/08/2025Stade Brestois 293–3Lille
10/05/2025Stade Brestois 292–0Lille
06/12/2024Lille3–1Stade Brestois 29
17/03/2024Stade Brestois 291–1Lille
22/10/2023Lille1–0Stade Brestois 29
24/02/2023Lille2–1Stade Brestois 29
11/01/2023Stade Brestois 290–0Lille
22/01/2022Stade Brestois 292–0Lille
23/10/2021Lille1–1Stade Brestois 29

Match information

Referee
Clement Turpin
Venue
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs GalatasarayWed 21/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs AS Monaco (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs NiceSat 24/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Lorient (away)Sun 01/11, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Monaco6+514
2Lille6+513
3Stade Rennais6+213
...
7Toulouse7+19
8Brest6+38
9Lorient608

See the full Ligue 1 table