Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Roma
67%
Draw
21%
Genoa
12%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Roma, negative favours Genoa) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Roma - Genoa)+1.30
Expected total goals2.75
Expected goals Roma / Genoa2.02 / 0.73
Both teams to score (yes / no)45.3% / 54.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 76.5%
Over 2.5 goals 51.9%
Over 3.5 goals 29.8%
First half
First-half result (Roma / draw / Genoa)48.4% / 39.1% / 12.5%
A goal in the first half70.6%
Two or more in the first half35.5%
Half-time then full-time
Roma lead at half-time then Roma win44.2%
Level at half-time then Roma win20.8%
Level at half-time then draw13.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Roma's side
Roma −2.032.3%
Roma −1.7537.5%
Roma −1.542.7%
Roma −1.2548.8%
Roma −1.055.0%
Roma −0.7561.1%
Roma −0.567.3%
Roma −0.2572.5%
Roma draw no bet (0.0)77.7%
Roma +0.2582.8%
Roma +0.588.0%
Roma +0.7590.2%
Roma +1.092.3%
Roma +1.596.6%
Roma +2.098.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Roma win1.49
Draw4.83
Genoa win8.34
Over 2.51.93
Under 2.52.08
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Roma wins by more than 1 goals43%
Genoa wins by more than 1 goals3%
Probability trajectory
Roma vs Genoa injury report and team news
Roma- M. BahOut · Knee Injury
- B. CristanteOut · Knee Injury
- D. MalenOut · Red Card
- M. SvilarOut · Toe Injury
- M. KoneDoubtful · Injury
Genoa- L. ColomboOut · Ankle Injury
- E. HavelOut · Ankle Injury
- F. MeichtryOut · Muscle Injury
- D. SowOut · Injury
- L. VenturinoOut · Knee Injury
- S. OtoaDoubtful · Injury
Roma vs Genoa team form
RomaLDDWD| 14/10/2026 | Real Madrid (home) | 3–4 |
| 11/10/2026 | Como (away) | 0–0 |
| 19/09/2026 | Inter (home) | 2–2 |
| 14/09/2026 | Torino (away) | 2–0 |
| 10/09/2026 | Fenerbahce (away) | 1–1 |
GenoaWLLWD| 10/10/2026 | Fiorentina (home) | 2–1 |
| 02/10/2026 | Rapid (away) | 0–2 |
| 20/09/2026 | Parma (away) | 1–2 |
| 15/09/2026 | Sudtirol (home) | 1–0 |
| 12/09/2026 | Frosinone (home) | 1–1 |
Roma vs Genoa head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Roma won 6, drew 2, lost 2. Roma scored 14 and conceded 9 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | Genoa | 2–1 | AS Roma |
| 29/12/2025 | AS Roma | 3–1 | Genoa |
| 17/01/2025 | AS Roma | 3–1 | Genoa |
| 15/09/2024 | Genoa | 1–1 | AS Roma |
| 19/05/2024 | AS Roma | 1–0 | Genoa |
| 28/09/2023 | Genoa | 4–1 | AS Roma |
| 12/01/2023 | AS Roma | 1–0 | Genoa |
| 05/02/2022 | AS Roma | 0–0 | Genoa |
| 21/11/2021 | Genoa | 0–2 | AS Roma |
| 07/03/2021 | AS Roma | 1–0 | Genoa |
Match information
- Referee
- Rosario Abisso
- Venue
- Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Round
- 7