Italian Serie B

Pisa vs US Cremonese prediction

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Pisa meet US Cremonese in the Italian Serie B, kick-off 00:30 on 18/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives Pisa a 46% chance to win, 30% for a draw and 24% for US Cremonese; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 2.5 goals in the match: both teams score with 52%, 3 or more goals with 46%.

Outcome probability

Updating live as the match unfolds
LiveOffline
Pisa
46%
Draw
30%
US Cremonese
24%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Pisa, negative favours US Cremonese) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Pisa - US Cremonese)+0.47
Expected total goals2.53
Expected goals Pisa / US Cremonese1.50 / 1.03
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.8% / 48.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.8%
Over 2.5 goals 46.3%
Over 3.5 goals 24.8%
First half
First-half result (Pisa / draw / US Cremonese)33.8% / 46.1% / 20.1%
A goal in the first half66.3%
Two or more in the first half33.0%
Half-time then full-time
Pisa lead at half-time then Pisa win28.3%
Level at half-time then draw19.2%
Level at half-time then Pisa win17.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Pisa's side
Pisa −2.016.9%
Pisa −1.7520.6%
Pisa −1.524.2%
Pisa −1.2529.7%
Pisa −1.035.2%
Pisa −0.7540.7%
Pisa −0.546.2%
Pisa −0.2553.6%
Pisa draw no bet (0.0)61.1%
Pisa +0.2568.5%
Pisa +0.576.0%
Pisa +0.7579.6%
Pisa +1.083.2%
Pisa +1.590.4%
Pisa +2.093.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Pisa win2.17
Draw3.35
US Cremonese win4.17
Over 2.52.16
Under 2.51.86

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Pisa wins by more than 1 goals24%
US Cremonese wins by more than 1 goals10%

Probability trajectory

Match events

  1. 3′GoalMatteo Tramoni (assist: Stefano Moreo)

Match statistics

PisaUS Cremonese
43Possession57
0.81Expected goals (xG)0.15
4Total shots3
1Shots on target2
1Corners0
4Fouls4
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
2Saves0
85Pass accuracy (%)85

Pisa vs US Cremonese lineups

PisaFormation 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Bianco
Starting lineup
98A. ConfenteGK
33A. CalabresiDF
13A. PrimassoDF
3S. AngoriDF
72S. ZanonMF
55G. LeoneMF
29O. CorreiaMF
7M. LerisMF
32S. MoreoMF
10M. TramoniMF
8F. PittarelloFW
Substitutes
11I. FerrahMF
14F. LoyolaDF
23T. MarrasFW
37A. PetagnaFW
2R. BozhinovDF
36G. PiccininiMF
17E. RaoFW
1S. ScuffetGK
21I. VuralMF
26F. CoppolaDF
4A. CaraccioloDF
5S. CanestrelliDF
US CremoneseFormation 4-1-4-1
Coach: F. Pecchia
Starting lineup
1A. FulignatiGK
4T. BarbieriDF
6F. BaschirottoDF
5S. LupertoDF
71S. EliaDF
33A. GrassiMF
10Adin LicinaMF
2M. ThorsbyMF
14T. BertiMF
27J. VandeputteMF
19M. NastiFW
Substitutes
15M. BianchettiDF
22F. AgazziGK
18M. CollocoloMF
9M. De LucaFW
13Fellipe JackDF
12M. FestaGK
26Gabriel HerzuahFW
17A. LickunasFW
25D. LordkipanidzeMF
8Simone Lottici TessadriMF
28simone marsiDF
38A. VogliaccoDF

Pisa vs US Cremonese team form

PisaWLDLL
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Vicenza Virtus (away)3–0
03/10/2026Monaco (away)0–2
20/09/2026Mantova (away)2–2
15/09/2026Fiorentina (away)0–3
11/09/2026Virtus Entella (home)1–4
US CremoneseDWWDD
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Arezzo (away)0–0
02/10/2026Juventus (away)1–0
26/09/2026Monza (away)3–2
19/09/2026Virtus Entella (home)0–0
12/09/2026Cesena (away)2–2

Pisa vs US Cremonese head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Pisa won 4, drew 3, lost 3. Pisa scored 13 and conceded 11 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/2026Cremonese3–0Pisa
07/11/2025Pisa1–0Cremonese
13/05/2025Pisa2–1Cremonese
03/11/2024Cremonese1–3Pisa
01/05/2024Cremonese2–1Pisa
02/12/2023Pisa0–0Cremonese
13/03/2022Pisa3–0Cremonese
28/10/2021Cremonese1–1Pisa
24/07/2021Pisa1–1Cremonese
06/02/2021Cremonese2–1Pisa

Match information

Referee
Maco Di Loreto
Venue
Arena Garibaldi, Pizza
Round
7

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.