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US MLS
03:30 18/10
Minnesota Utd-
St Louis City SCSt Louis City SC-
All 20 live →
US MLS

Minnesota Utd vs St Louis City SC prediction

Minnesota Utd
03:30, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
St Louis City SC

Quick preview

Minnesota Utd meet St Louis City SC in the US MLS, kick-off 03:30 on 18/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives Minnesota Utd a 37% chance to win, 28% for a draw and 36% for St Louis City SC; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 3.0 goals in the match: both teams score with 62%, 3 or more goals with 58%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Minnesota Utd
37%
Draw
28%
St Louis City SC
36%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Minnesota Utd, negative favours St Louis City SC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Minnesota Utd - St Louis City SC)+0.02
Expected total goals3.00
Expected goals Minnesota Utd / St Louis City SC1.51 / 1.49
Both teams to score (yes / no)62.1% / 37.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 81.8%
Over 2.5 goals 57.8%
Over 3.5 goals 35.3%
First half
First-half result (Minnesota Utd / draw / St Louis City SC)28.9% / 42.7% / 28.4%
A goal in the first half72.3%
Two or more in the first half40.9%
Half-time then full-time
Minnesota Utd lead at half-time then Minnesota Utd win22.0%
St Louis City SC lead at half-time then St Louis City SC win21.5%
Level at half-time then draw16.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Minnesota Utd's side
Minnesota Utd −2.012.8%
Minnesota Utd −1.7515.6%
Minnesota Utd −1.518.5%
Minnesota Utd −1.2523.0%
Minnesota Utd −1.027.5%
Minnesota Utd −0.7532.0%
Minnesota Utd −0.536.5%
Minnesota Utd −0.2543.5%
Minnesota Utd draw no bet (0.0)50.4%
Minnesota Utd +0.2557.3%
Minnesota Utd +0.564.2%
Minnesota Utd +0.7568.7%
Minnesota Utd +1.073.2%
Minnesota Utd +1.582.1%
Minnesota Utd +2.087.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Minnesota Utd win2.74
Draw3.61
St Louis City SC win2.80
Over 2.51.73
Under 2.52.37

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Minnesota Utd wins by more than 1 goals18%
St Louis City SC wins by more than 1 goals18%

Probability trajectory

Minnesota Utd vs St Louis City SC injury report and team news

Minnesota Utd
  • A. MarkanichOut · Concussion
  • A. SmirOut · Knee Injury
  • P. StroudOut · Muscle Injury
St Louis City SC
  • Celio PompeuOut · Knee Injury
  • C. WallemDoubtful · Injury

Minnesota Utd vs St Louis City SC team form

Minnesota UtdDDLLL
Last 5 matches
15/10/2026Colorado Rapids (away)2–2
11/10/2026Houston Dynamo (home)2–2
27/09/2026Seattle Sounders (away)1–3
20/09/2026Los Angeles Galaxy (home)2–3
13/09/2026St. Louis City (away)2–4
St Louis City SCDWWWW
Last 5 matches
15/10/2026Vancouver Whitecaps (home)0–0
11/10/2026Los Angeles Galaxy (home)6–2
30/09/2026New York Red Bulls (away)3–0
20/09/2026Toronto FC (home)3–1
17/09/2026Colorado Rapids (away)3–0

Minnesota Utd vs St Louis City SC head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 8 meetings: Minnesota Utd won 6, drew 0, lost 2. Minnesota Utd scored 19 and conceded 11 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
13/09/2026St. Louis City4–2Minnesota United FC
27/07/2025St. Louis City1–2Minnesota United FC
21/05/2025Minnesota United FC3–2St. Louis City
18/05/2025Minnesota United FC3–0St. Louis City
20/10/2024Minnesota United FC4–1St. Louis City
15/09/2024St. Louis City1–3Minnesota United FC
24/09/2023Minnesota United FC1–2St. Louis City
02/04/2023St. Louis City0–1Minnesota United FC

Match information

Referee
Ramy Touchan
Venue
Allianz Field, Sao Paulo
Round
30

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.