UEFA U21 Euro Qualifiers
Portugal U21 vs Gibraltar U21 prediction
4 – 0
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Portugal U21
98%
Draw
2%
Gibraltar U21
1%
Actual result: Portugal U21 4 – 0 Gibraltar U21 · Portugal U21 winJarvis gave this outcome: 98% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Portugal U21, negative favours Gibraltar U21) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Portugal U21 - Gibraltar U21)+4.89
Expected total goals6.13
Expected goals Portugal U21 / Gibraltar U215.51 / 0.62
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.0% / 54.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 98.3%
Over 2.5 goals 94.4%
Over 3.5 goals 86.0%
First half
First-half result (Portugal U21 / draw / Gibraltar U21)86.5% / 9.8% / 3.7%
A goal in the first half94.6%
Two or more in the first half75.3%
Half-time then full-time
Portugal U21 lead at half-time then Portugal U21 win85.8%
Level at half-time then Portugal U21 win8.9%
Gibraltar U21 lead at half-time then Portugal U21 win2.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Portugal U21's side
Portugal U21 −2.088.0%
Portugal U21 −1.7590.3%
Portugal U21 −1.592.6%
Portugal U21 −1.2593.8%
Portugal U21 −1.095.1%
Portugal U21 −0.7596.3%
Portugal U21 −0.597.6%
Portugal U21 −0.2598.0%
Portugal U21 draw no bet (0.0)98.4%
Portugal U21 +0.2598.8%
Portugal U21 +0.599.2%
Portugal U21 +0.7599.3%
Portugal U21 +1.099.5%
Portugal U21 +1.599.9%
Portugal U21 +2.099.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Portugal U21 win1.03
Draw62.16
Gibraltar U21 win119.89
Over 2.51.06
Under 2.517.76
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Portugal U21 wins by more than 1 goals92%
Gibraltar U21 wins by more than 1 goals0%